Morecambe vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
61.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 3
GRI
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SWI
2 - 3
MOR
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
ROT
2 - 1
LIN
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 4
LIN
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
WRE
1 - 0
LIN
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 3
WYC
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |