Morecambe vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 3
SHW
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 2
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 3
EVE
57%
21%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 4
MKD
18%
25%
58%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SUT
2 - 0
HAR
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 1
CRE
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
HAR
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 0
TOW
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LEY
4 - 2
HAR
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |