Morecambe vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
DAG
2 - 1
MOR
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
PLY
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEY
1 - 0
MOR
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
AFC
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 0
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
LEY
0 - 2
HAR
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 0
AFC
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
HAR
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |