Morecambe vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
HUR
3 - 0
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 0
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 2
MOR
38%
23%
39%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
BBU
12%
18%
69%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WOR
1 - 1
MOR
7%
13%
79%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
SWA
3 - 1
GIL
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GIL
4 - 1
CUM
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WOK
1 - 1
GIL
23%
23%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 3
GIL
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 1
GIL
10%
18%
73%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |