Morecambe vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
YOR
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 2
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 3
WYC
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
BCF
3 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
MOR
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
EXE
2 - 1
WYC
36%
27%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
EXE
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 2
HAR
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
COV
3 - 1
EXE
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
DAG
1 - 2
EXE
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |