FA Cup 1/128
Global 2-3
Morecambe vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 3
EXE
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
MOR
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
STE
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 2
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 3
CUM
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
COV
2 - 0
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 1
COV
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
COV
2 - 0
ROC
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
COV
2 - 1
OXF
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
COV
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |