Morecambe vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
WYC
2 - 0
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 0
BOL
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 1
DAG
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
DAG
6 - 0
MOR
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
ALD
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
COV
2 - 0
OPA
21%
27%
51%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
COV
1 - 1
WBA
21%
25%
55%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
NUN
0 - 0
COV
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
COV
0 - 4
WAT
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
MID
1 - 1
COV
64%
23%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |