Morecambe vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 0
MOR
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
WIG
1 - 2
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DON
1 - 0
MOR
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
GIL
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
BRO
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
BRE
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 90 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
TOW
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
MKD
29%
25%
45%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |