Morecambe vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
HER
0 - 3
MOR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
WYC
2 - 0
MOR
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOR
28%
26%
45%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
BCF
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GRI
1 - 2
MOR
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 1
BCF
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 2
POS
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
CHE
3 - 0
BAR
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
WRE
2 - 2
CHE
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 2
MKD
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |