Morecambe vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 1
CUM
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 2
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CUM
2 - 2
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 1
LIN
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 4
NOR
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 1
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GUL
3 - 1
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 4
CRE
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 2
MAC
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |