Morecambe vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 2
CAM
44%
26%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
OXF
3 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
PLY
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 1
MOR
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 0
HOR
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
3 - 0
CUM
50%
25%
24%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 0
OLD
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 2
CUM
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 1
TRA
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |