Morecambe vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GRI
1 - 2
MOR
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 1
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 2
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 1
STA
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 2
MOR
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BCF
2 - 0
POS
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
LEE
1 - 2
BCF
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
BCF
4 - 1
WOR
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
ROT
2 - 1
BCF
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BCF
3 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |