Morecambe vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
STA
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SWI
3 - 0
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 0
OXF
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
STF
2 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
CRE
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 3
BUR
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
DAG
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 0
BUR
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 2
AFC
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
BUR
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |