Morecambe vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
56.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BUR
3 - 2
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
ROT
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
COV
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
WYC
2 - 0
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 0
BOL
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BUR
3 - 0
LEI
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
IPS
1 - 1
BUR
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 0
NTT
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
HOM
0 - 5
BUR
7%
14%
79%
|
75 | 18 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
GOM
0 - 5
BUR
7%
14%
80%
|
75 | 9 | 66 | 0 |