Morecambe vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DAG
1 - 2
MOR
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
MOR
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MOR
6 - 0
CRA
28%
28%
45%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 2
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 1
ALD
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 0
STF
27%
27%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
BRO
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
WYC
3 - 1
BRO
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 1
BRO
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |