Morecambe vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
4 - 2
SOL
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
MOR
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SCU
1 - 1
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
4 - 0
MAN
41%
22%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
STE
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
AFC
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
3 - 4
OLD
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 2
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
STA
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |