Morecambe vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 3
EXE
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
YOR
1 - 4
MOR
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DAG
1 - 2
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHE
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PLY
2 - 1
MOR
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 2
PLY
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EXE
0 - 0
ALD
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MID
2 - 1
ALD
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 2
NOR
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
YOR
0 - 0
ALD
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |