Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
PNE
26%
23%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GUL
1 - 1
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 3
BRO
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DAG
1 - 2
MOR
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
MOR
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
STE
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 1
GIL
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
AFC
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
4 - 1
CHE
58%
22%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
NOR
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |