Mordovia Saransk vs Zvezda Irkutsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
SKA
4 - 3
MOR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SAL
2 - 1
MOR
57%
24%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 0
DIN
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MOR
3 - 1
AVA
30%
28%
43%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
ALA
0 - 0
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zvezda Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
ZIR
1 - 1
BAL
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ZIR
0 - 1
TOR
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SRY
0 - 3
ZIR
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
URA
1 - 0
ZIR
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
ZIR
2 - 0
TER
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +2 |