Mordovia Saransk vs Zenit II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
MOR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
KHI
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FAK
1 - 2
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
SPA
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
YAR
1 - 2
MOR
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ZEN
0 - 1
SKA
31%
27%
43%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FCK
2 - 1
ZEN
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ZEN
1 - 1
TOR
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 0
ZEN
57%
25%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ZEN
0 - 1
BAL
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |