Mordovia Saransk vs Sibir Novosibirsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SKA
2 - 1
MOR
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
FCK
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 1
MOR
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 2
OLY
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
MLA
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SIB
1 - 0
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SKA
1 - 1
SIB
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SIB
0 - 2
YAR
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
FCK
1 - 1
SIB
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 1
SIB
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |