Mordovia Saransk vs Sochi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TOM
1 - 0
MOR
48%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 0
VLA
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 2
MOR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 3
TAM
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
ONI
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sochi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SOC
2 - 0
SKA
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FCK
0 - 2
SOC
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SOC
1 - 0
TOR
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
OLY
0 - 0
SOC
19%
28%
54%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
SOC
4 - 1
YEN
63%
20%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |