Mordovia Saransk vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
KHI
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
MOR
25%
27%
49%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
ZHE
0 - 3
MOR
17%
24%
60%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 1
GAZ
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 2
URA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
KAM
3 - 1
FAK
77%
16%
6%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
FAK
1 - 1
ALA
13%
25%
62%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
FAK
0 - 1
VOL
31%
28%
40%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
FAK
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
FAK
61%
24%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |