Mordovia Saransk vs Dynamo St Petersburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 0
NAL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LOK
2 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
12%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
TER
29%
25%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
FCR
2 - 1
MOR
62%
23%
14%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
SPA
23%
23%
53%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo St Petersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
DIN
0 - 1
ARS
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
DIN
0 - 0
URA
15%
25%
60%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
DIN
0 - 3
ROT
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
YAR
1 - 0
DIN
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
DIN
1 - 1
SAL
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |