Mordovia Saransk U21 vs Arsenal Tula Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
UFA
2 - 2
MOR
18%
23%
60%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
URA
66%
20%
13%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DIN
1 - 1
MOR
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
AMK
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARS
4 - 0
KRA
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ZEN
5 - 0
ARS
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AMK
1 - 0
ARS
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UFA
1 - 1
ARS
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ARS
4 - 2
SPA
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |