Moravac Mrštane vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
66.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moravac Mrštane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 1
MOR
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PPT
0 - 0
MOR
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TRG
1 - 0
MOR
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ZEM
0 - 1
NAP
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NAP
1 - 0
KOL
76%
17%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BAK
4 - 3
NAP
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NAP
3 - 1
RAD
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
INI
0 - 1
NAP
40%
27%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |