Moratalla vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SEV
0 - 0
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
EST
24%
25%
52%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 1
MOR
61%
25%
14%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
CFB
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 2
MEL
17%
26%
58%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SRQ
3 - 0
IMP
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ROQ
2 - 0
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SRQ
2 - 1
POL
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 2
SRQ
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SRQ
3 - 0
BET
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +3 |