Moratalla vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 1
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
BET
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
JER
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
POL
0 - 0
IMP
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ROQ
1 - 1
POL
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
POL
3 - 1
MEL
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
POL
1 - 1
GRA
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BET
2 - 0
POL
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |