Moraña vs San Adrián analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 6
PON
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAS
21%
22%
57%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 2
MOR
68%
18%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 3
VIL
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Adrián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ADR
2 - 0
CAM
33%
25%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PON
3 - 3
ADR
20%
22%
59%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADR
3 - 0
ARC
21%
23%
56%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
ADR
70%
18%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ADR
0 - 1
CHA
34%
23%
44%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |