Moralo vs Valdelacalzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+151%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 2
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
EXT
4 - 2
MOR
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
DBN
47%
26%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
JER
3 - 1
MOR
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Valdelacalzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 2
SAM
35%
27%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
AMA
26%
26%
48%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 8
EXT
8%
18%
74%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
DBN
3 - 0
VAL
68%
21%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |