Moralo vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 2
MOR
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
COR
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 1
MOR
77%
16%
7%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
AMA
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UCL
0 - 2
CPC
10%
19%
71%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
UCL
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AZU
4 - 1
UCL
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UCL
0 - 6
CDB
12%
19%
68%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
UCL
2 - 0
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |