Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Moralo vs UA Horta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
ARR
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 2
MOR
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
MOR
3 - 2
JER
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ADL
2 - 1
MOR
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 1
CDD
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
UA Horta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
UAH
3 - 1
FCM
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
EUR
0 - 1
UAH
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
UAH
2 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UAH
3 - 3
UES
37%
28%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CER
0 - 1
UAH
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |