Moralo vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARR
3 - 4
MOR
16%
22%
62%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
4 - 3
EMD
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
JER
0 - 0
MOR
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 2
MOR
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TRU
0 - 2
CPC
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MIA
0 - 2
TRU
17%
21%
62%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
TRU
0 - 2
AZU
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 0
EXT
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 0
TRU
29%
23%
49%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |