Moralo vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CDD
2 - 4
MOR
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 2
MOR
39%
25%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
EXT
5 - 0
MOR
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
DBN
41%
27%
33%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TRU
2 - 0
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
TRU
2 - 0
CPA
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CPA
1 - 3
TRU
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRU
2 - 0
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
TRU
31%
24%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |