Moralo vs Santa Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CFJ
1 - 1
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
COR
4 - 1
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
COR
26%
27%
48%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 0
ARR
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 4
MOR
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 6
CPC
11%
20%
69%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 3
SAM
45%
24%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 0
PUE
54%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 0
SAM
14%
19%
68%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 3
HER
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |