Moralo vs Santa Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDZ
3 - 0
MOR
14%
21%
65%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
PLA
40%
24%
37%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
UDF
65%
20%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CPC
3 - 1
MOR
72%
19%
9%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAL
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 2
CPC
10%
19%
71%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 4
JER
20%
25%
54%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AZU
5 - 0
SAM
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 4
CDB
12%
20%
68%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |