Moralo vs Santa Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
COR
2 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
DBN
33%
28%
39%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
MOR
4 - 0
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
SNV
1 - 0
MOR
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
MAL
60%
23%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
5 - 1
DPC
15%
23%
62%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PLA
2 - 1
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DBN
1 - 1
SAM
64%
22%
14%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
PLA
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |