Moralo vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 0
ASJ
54%
25%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 2
MOR
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 3
COR
48%
25%
28%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 3
MOR
23%
26%
51%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UDS
1 - 0
SNV
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
DPC
4 - 0
UDS
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
UDS
2 - 4
VAL
58%
22%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CPL
1 - 0
UDS
55%
25%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
UDS
2 - 1
DBN
32%
27%
41%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |