Moralo vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOR
56%
25%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
ICR
1 - 3
MOR
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
MOR
0 - 2
POL
38%
28%
35%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
SEV
2 - 1
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
MOR
0 - 1
MEL
35%
28%
36%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
PLA
1 - 2
ICR
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
POL
0 - 0
PLA
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
PLA
2 - 2
SEV
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
MEL
3 - 1
PLA
60%
24%
15%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
PLA
2 - 0
CAD
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +3 |