Moralo vs Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 2
MOR
11%
20%
69%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
JER
1 - 3
MOR
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 0
ADL
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CDD
2 - 1
MOR
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
OLI
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 1
ARR
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
EMD
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
OLI
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
MAD
11%
21%
69%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | +2 |