Moralo vs Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUE
32%
26%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CDZ
3 - 3
MOR
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
ASJ
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 0
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EXT
4 - 0
OLI
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
DBN
31%
27%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |