Moralo vs Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
VIL
14%
24%
62%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +5 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MIA
0 - 3
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 2
PLA
32%
26%
42%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CDZ
3 - 1
MOR
58%
23%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
SNV
22%
25%
53%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
DPC
5 - 2
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 0
VAL
31%
27%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CPL
1 - 1
OLI
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 2
UDS
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |