Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-3
Moralo vs UD Montijo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
DBN
2 - 1
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
MON
1 - 3
MOR
34%
28%
39%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
MOR
3 - 0
AZU
78%
15%
6%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
TAL
2 - 3
MOR
20%
29%
51%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
VAL
1 - 3
MOR
17%
28%
55%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
UD Montijo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
MON
3 - 2
UCL
54%
25%
21%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
MON
1 - 3
MOR
34%
28%
39%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
MON
1 - 2
DBN
21%
27%
53%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ORE
0 - 2
MON
14%
24%
62%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
MON
1 - 2
PLA
20%
28%
52%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |