Moralo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
15º
7º
28
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 69 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 69 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 68 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 68 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 62 |
6º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
37.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 48 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 46 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 35 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
17º
|
34% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOR
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
MOR
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 1
VIL
36%
26%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
CDB
9%
20%
71%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
JER
0 - 2
CDD
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AZU
4 - 1
JER
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
JER
3 - 1
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TRU
2 - 2
JER
34%
25%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
JER
3 - 0
PUE
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |