Moralo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ADL
2 - 1
MOR
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 1
CDD
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
MOR
8%
17%
75%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
EXT
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
MOR
18%
22%
59%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
JER
1 - 2
ARR
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
JER
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 2
JER
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
JER
5 - 1
ADL
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CDD
1 - 2
JER
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |