Moralo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
RJA
2 - 1
MOR
64%
23%
14%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
MOR
0 - 3
ALM
37%
29%
34%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
BET
2 - 0
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
MOR
0 - 2
XER
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
AGD
1 - 1
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
JER
6 - 0
ICR
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
POL
0 - 0
JER
46%
27%
28%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
JER
5 - 0
SEV
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
MEL
2 - 0
JER
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1998 |
DEP
3 - 1
JER
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |