Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
Moralo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
MOR
0 - 1
CDS
69%
20%
11%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
JER
3 - 2
MOR
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
MOR
1 - 3
JER
56%
25%
19%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1992 |
MOR
2 - 2
MON
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
DBN
2 - 1
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
JER
5 - 0
TAL
84%
12%
4%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
JER
3 - 2
MOR
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
MOR
1 - 3
JER
56%
25%
19%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1992 |
PLA
1 - 2
JER
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
JER
2 - 1
CDM
83%
13%
4%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |