Moralo vs CD Don Álvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
13º
3º
24
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 0
MOR
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 2
ADL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UCL
1 - 4
MOR
12%
20%
69%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
OLI
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 1
MOR
16%
22%
62%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 0
ARR
33%
25%
42%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TRU
1 - 0
CDD
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
4 - 1
CDD
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 4
AZU
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ADL
4 - 1
CDD
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |