Moralo vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SNV
2 - 1
MOR
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 5
ARR
11%
20%
69%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CDB
1 - 0
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
UDF
56%
24%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 2
MOR
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
VAL
76%
16%
9%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 3
CAL
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 1
VAL
81%
13%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
EXT
5 - 2
CAL
77%
15%
9%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
4 - 1
DBN
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |