Moralo vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ALG
1 - 0
MOR
64%
22%
15%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 2
BET
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
CAD
5 - 1
MOR
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 3
JER
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CDZ
1 - 4
MOR
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
MAL
4 - 0
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
MOT
0 - 1
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MAL
1 - 1
AGD
37%
28%
36%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
MEL
0 - 0
MAL
42%
28%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MAL
0 - 1
MER
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |